Welcome to “Mrows and Shakers” where on a weekly Basis this season, we’ll look back at who moved up with a big win, who shock up the college football world and how the batting markt was affected by. All before digging into the lines for the big games in the coming week.
Consider this your early-wheek destination for all of the biggest betting storylines every week in college football.
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While no one’s had a chance to shake things up counted, the offseason has seen some teams make a big move compared to where they were rated in the besting market last season.
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Movin ‘up
Let’s see who is stock is up before the first game of the season kicks off saturday.
No. 9 lsu
Oklahoma’s 2024 was rough, but lsu closed last season as just a 6-point home favorite over the songs, which is indicative of a lacked of market respect for the four-close tigers Covered comfortably). So, it’s a little optimistic that bot the ap and the betting market has lsu as a top-10 team to start this season-the only school in that echelon who finished the 2024 regular season unranked.
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No. 12 Illinois
Admittedly, The AP Poll Thinks More Highlinois Than the Betting Market, but even Top-20 Consideration for the Illini in the Betting market is a big jump from where they finished last season. With a Win Total of 7.5 Heavily Juiced to the Over, Illinois is no longer considered the slightly-Above-Abrage team it was when deemed just 7.5 points between 7.5 points Nov. 30.
No. 23 Texas Tech
Just inside the top-25 is how bot the ap and the betting market view tech coming into the season, but you’re likely not alone in thinking, “Umm, why?” The answer to all your questions is “money,” and the red raiders have spent it, trying to improve on an 8-4 regular season.
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Florida state
It wouldn’t Gone WorsE for Florida State Last Season, So on Reputation Alone, The Seminles Are Considered Better Than the Rest of the Group that Barely Won Two Games Last Year. No, they do’t have a number next to his name to start the season, but bettors know that you don’t see many 2-10 teams lined inside of two touchdowns aganst albama-FSUK 1 OPPONENT. The seminles should be much better this season.
Southern mississippi
This is part 1 of the most interesting thing on in the group of five (G5) to start the season as the gralden eagles go from a decrepit program to someishing with a Dificult-TO-CEIing. If USM’s Previous Team Grade was 17 out of 100, how much of an upward adjustment can be made for a new regime?
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Movin ‘down
No. 3 oho state
Moving down to no. 3 isn’t exactly a collapse, but the buckeyes finished the season as one of the most dominant teams in recent college football history, so, yes, yes, yes, losing a ton of talent – Including QB WLLLDING QB WLLLDING – And Botha Coordinators from a National Champion Should Result in Some Sort of a Dip.
No. 24 tennessee
Vols Fans Won’t rest easy, but the betting market does think more of tennessee than poll voters do. However, even if they’re more like the 18th-best team in the country, going from the 9-seed in the college football playoff reflex a Dip, Due to Less to Less EXPERIENCED TALENCED TALENCED TALENCED TALENCED TALENCED TALENCED TALENCED TALENCED TALENCED
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Colorado
Losing Shedeur Sanders and Travis Hunter should result in a drop in market rating, so it should come as no surprise that bettors – Slow to admit the buffalose was a good teen of their Tenure – ARECK to Thinking Colorado is Merely “Mid.”
Jacksonville state
Rich rodriguez has left the gamecocks to return to west virginia (oddly the mountaineers From conference usa champion to just another g5 team the common fan need not worry about.
Marshall
As for Part 2 of the drama in the sun belt, marshall botched its dealings with the head coach who brough a conference title, as charles huff have made on Moved on Mix, Taking Much of the Thundering Herd Championship roster with Him, Including Star Quarterback Braylon Braxton. While The Betting Market does not know how far it needs to drop marshall’s rating, it knows it’s Much Lower Than Last Year.
Best Bets for Week 0’s Big Games
For Week 0, Given We’ve Been without meaningful Football for months, let’s If you’re playing another Fbs Team on Saturday, it’s a big game.
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Odds courtesy of Betmgm,
No. 22 iowa state vs. No. 17 kansas state (-3, 49.5) in Dublin, Ireland
After sitting at kansas state -3.5 for much of the offseason, this line skipped up to -4, before coming back down to a flat Field Goal.
Both Teams Bring Back Their Starting Quarterback – Making Each a Conference Title Contender – but kansas state has more returning production, and if the first game of the season devols into a match The Basics, QB Avery Johnson and Tailback Dylan Edwards Can Wreak Havoc on a Cyclones Defense that Got Run Through by Cam Skattebo in the 2024 big 12 title game.
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While there’s an undersrstandable temptation to take iOWA State Head Coach Matt Campbell in the Role of Underdog, My Projections agreed more with the move to -4 than they they do with the line
Pick: Kansas State -3
Fresno State at Kansas (-12.5, 50.5)
This line opened kansas -14, but interest in fresno state has brought it off the key number.
Bettors might have liked that two-time fcs national champion head coach matt entz has tabbed ej warner (kurt’s son, at his third school) as the starting Quarterback, But Kansasa Has two “game of the year” Lookahed lines, and -12.5 here is more in line with its status as underdogs to both misouri and kansas state.
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Late to the party to take the full two touchdowns, and unwilling to lay the points against the new energy in fresno, we’ll exercise our right to pass – One Main Main Main Maina Advantage We Have The Sportsbooks Are compelled to offer the game.
Pick: Pass
Sam Houston State at Western KentTocky (-10, 60.5)
To get to this number, Sam House State’s Market Rating Bold Need to Benefit from an Above-average strength of schedule in conference usa. While They’ll be Taking an ‘L’ Against Texas, An Otherwise MediCre Non-Conference Slate and Missing Liberty in League Play isn’t enough to Give the bearkats the benefit of the dobt of.
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Perhaps that’S why this line has gone up from 8.5, but Clay Helton has related, and the Hilltoppers are the second choice in the conferen’s title Odds for a reason. With both schedules relatively equal, a team projected for 7.5 Wins Hosting One that is Hoping to Crawl Over 4.5, should be closer to a two -ou-touchdown favorite. Let’s lay with it with the installed program, SIM HUTON STATE LOST Its Longtime Head Coach, KC Kealer, Replacing Him with the Underwhelming Phil Longo.
Pick: Western Kenttocky -10
Stanford at HAWAII (-2.5, 52.5)
If we wrote and published this in July, it would start with confusion about why Hawaii wasn’t favored, since Stanford opened as road chalk despite a season win total that’s set at 3.5 and juiced to the under. That’s not term out of the account, but haawaii is favorite to be bowl eligible, and playing on the island has been born an easy trip for visiting teams.
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Andrew luck and frank reich might have the turning started already, but even a 2.5-point spores Requires stanford to get the biggest rating bump due to strength of schedule in the CCC, and the Smarallest For Hawai of anya Mountain West Team.
Since we’re loathe to lose a game by giving a Couple Points We Cold Have Had Earlier, We’ll Play the Moneyline At -130, Since Our Projections Still Show Value Value on the Rainbow Value on the Rainbow Value Value Should have opened close closer to -150 in the first place).
Pick: HAWAII ML (-130)
You can find more on college football’s biggest games and best bets each week from yahoo sports beting contributor, Matt russellAt The window,